Idatha Yemakethe Yemikhiqizo Yenyama
Muva nje, umbiko wakamuva wokubikezela ukuthuthukiswa kwezolimo wesikhathi eside okhishwe uMnyango Wezolimo wase-US ubonisa ukuthi uma kuqhathaniswa no-2021, ukusetshenziswa kwezinkukhu emhlabeni wonke kuzokwenyuka ngo-16.7% ngo-2031. Phakathi nalesi sikhathi esifanayo, izifunda ezinemali emaphakathi njengeNingizimu-mpumalanga I-Asia, iLatin America, i-Afrika kanye ne-Middle East ibone ukukhula okubaluleke kakhulu kwesidingo sayo yonke inyama.
Imininingwane iphinde ikhombise ukuthi eminyakeni eyishumi ezayo, iBrazil izoqhubeka nokuba yizwe elidayisa izinkukhu elikhulu kunawo wonke emhlabeni, elibalelwa ku-32.5% wokukhula kokuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe, ngevolumu yokuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe engamathani ayizigidi ezingu-5.2, okukhuphuke ngo-19.6% ngo-2021. Izizwe, i-European Union neThailand zilandela, kanti ukuthunyelwa kwenkukhu ngo-2031 kuzoba amathani ayizigidi ezingu-4.3, amathani ayizigidi ezingu-2.9 kanye namathani acishe abe yizigidi eziyi-1.4, ngokulandelana, okukhuphuke ngo-13.9%, 15.9% no-31.7%.Ukuhlaziywa kombiko kwaveza ukuthi ngenxa yokuvela kancane kancane kwenzuzo yenzuzo embonini yezinkukhu, amazwe amaningi nezifunda emhlabeni (ikakhulukazi lawo aphethwe amaqembu ahola kancane naphakathi) athambekele ekukhuthazeni ukuthuthukiswa kokuthunyelwa kwezinkukhu kwamanye amazwe.Ngakho-ke, uma kuqhathaniswa nenyama yenkomo kanye nengulube, ishumi elilandelayo Ukwanda kwaminyaka yonke ekukhiqizweni kwezinkukhu kanye nokusetshenziswa kuzobonakala nakakhulu.Ngo-2031, i-United States, i-China kanye ne-Brazil izobalelwa ku-33% wezinkukhu ezidliwa emhlabeni wonke, kanti i-China izoba umthengi omkhulu kunazo zonke emhlabeni wezinkukhu, inyama yenkomo kanye nengulube ngaleso sikhathi.
Imakethe Ethembisayo
Lesi sikhungo sithe uma siqhathanisa nonyaka odlule izinga lokukhula kokudliwa kwezinkukhu emazweni asathuthuka ngo-2031 (20.8%) lingcono kakhulu kunamazwe athuthukile (8.5%).Phakathi kwawo, amazwe asathuthuka kanye namazwe asathuthuka akhula ngokushesha kwabantu (njengamanye amazwe ase-Afrika) Ibambe iqhaza elibalulekile ekukhuthazeni ukukhula okuqinile kokudliwa kwezinkukhu.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, i-ejensi ibikezela ukuthi inani eliphelele lonyaka lokungeniswa kwamanye amazwe lamazwe amakhulu angenisa izinkukhu emhlabeni lizofinyelela amathani ayizigidi ezingu-15.8 ngo-2031, okuwukunyuka kwama-20.3% (amathani ayizigidi ezingu-26) uma kuqhathaniswa no-2021. Phakathi kwazo, amathemba ekusasa okuthengwa kwamanye amazwe. izimakethe ezifana ne-Asia, i-Latin America, iNyakatho Afrika kanye ne-Middle East zingcono.
Umbiko uveze ukuthi njengoba ukusetshenziswa kwezinkukhu kancane kancane kudlula isamba esikhiqizwa ekhaya, iShayina izoba yizwe elingenisa izinkukhu kwamanye amazwe.Umthamo wokuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe ubungamathani angu-571,000 kanti isamba sesamba sokuthengwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe sasingamathani angu-218,000, okukhuphuke ngo-23.4% futhi cishe ngama-40% ngokulandelana.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Nov-11-2022